Tide should be much improved regardless...
So for the sake of argument lets say that Grant does return
next season. What can we expect? I don't think we'll be an Elite Eight team but
we might make it through a couple of NCAA rounds if a couple of things go
right. There are three areas that the Tide will have to address to become an
NCAA player again.
1. Justin Coleman can speed up the winning
process if he can adjust to Division One ball. He has the talent. He has
the foot speed, the ability to shoot well and score. They aren't the same. He
can break the press. He is a wizard with the ball. He sometimes gets a little
out of control, but players like Coleman always push their limits. You can back
off some much easier than speed it up.
2. Alabama needs to shoot a higher percentage
from the outside. Releford has been
better than good, and Cooper has shown signs of life lately. No other Tide
player is an outside threat. Norris, Mitchell, and Coleman are all threats.
They are all big time threats. Mitchell is downright scary, and Norris won't
find many players or zones he can't shoot over. Coleman will pull up on the break and shoot the three
with accuracy. If all three adjust quickly it will be the first time that
Alabama will have four big time shooters on the floor at the same time.
3. Will Michael Kessens be the answer inside? The short answer is yes because our inside game
is so weak right now, almost anyone would be an improvement. Kessens can play with his back to the basket. Or he can show some decent
range outside facing the basket. But, he's only 215 or so and is really a
power. The icing on the cake would be that Taylor will get much stronger and
find some type of drop step shot. Kessens could move down to the power forward.
My bet is that Jacobs be the first big
off the bench if Taylor doesn't really improve. Otherwise Kessens may be forced
to play the post.
As with any team
there are some sub-plots. What is going with Levi Randolph and Rodney
Cooper? Stated above it seems that Copper
may be coming out of his funk. He has been steady under boards this season but
his shooting has been woeful at times. Who knows what to say about Randolph. He
no longer starts, he is tentative, and makes a ton of mental errors. Is his
benching some type of message? I don't think there has been talk of that but
you have to wonder. His defense has suffered as well.
Sub-plot two is
how is Grant going to alter his defense next season. (and all college coaches for that matter) The new rule regarding
getting a little close to your friends has killed the Tide's perimeter defense.
Lately, the Tide has been playing a pretty good zone defense. If this rule is
going to stay the same a lot more teams will go zone and outside shooting will
be even more important. Scoring is up 8% all over the NCAA. That's one reason
why Alabama's allowing more points. The other reason is that the interior
defense isn't as good. Taylor is changing that. Florida couldn't beat the Tide
inside when they had the ball so they had to resort to the three ball. Imagine
how it would effect Tide opponents if Alabama could shoot the ball as well as
Florida. Alabama played Florida to a draw in the first half. The got beat by
less than ten on a top three home floor.
I still believe that Grant is a first rate coach. If you can't recruit what
good does that matter? Better players
are coming but the Tide hasn't found a inside banger in my opinion.That's why the loss of William Lee to UAB was such a perceived loss.
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